In the name of “protecting democracy,” we are witnessing the quiet cancellation of democracy itself, though many are yet to acknowledge the profound implications of this reality.
On Sunday, January 14, NBC News published a story about fears that Trump might use the military in “dictatorial ways” if he returns to the White House. This article highlighted a loose network of public interest groups and lawmakers quietly strategizing to thwart any attempts by Donald Trump to expand presidential power.
The story quoted former high-ranking officials, all warning of Trump’s potential misuse of the Department of Defense for political purposes. This narrative, framed as a defense of democracy, was reminiscent of a similar storyline from the summer of 2020.
Since late 2023, when Joe Biden’s team leaked a strategy memo portraying Trump as an “existential threat to democracy” for the 2024 campaign, there has been a concerted effort to insert terms like “existential” and “democracy” into public discourse. The recent NBC story continued this trend, with Bill Clinton’s Secretary of Defense, William Cohen, proclaiming, “We’re about 30 seconds away from the Armageddon clock when it comes to democracy.”
Skye Perryman of Democracy Forward echoed these sentiments, stating, “We believe this is an existential moment for American democracy.”
The coalition formed to combat Trump’s alleged threats includes organizations such as Democracy Forward and Protect Democracy, both known for filing numerous lawsuits against Trump in the past. The article suggested that a future Trump presidency might require new forms of external control over the military, referencing Senator Richard Blumenthal’s bill to “clarify” the Insurrection Act.
This scenario, however, is not new. In the summer of 2020, a similar narrative emerged with the Transition Integrity Project (TIP), a group of around 100 former officials, think-tankers, and journalists who conducted simulations of contested election scenarios. The TIP’s predictions and warnings about Trump’s unwillingness to leave office were widely covered in major media outlets, depicting apocalyptic scenarios of mass unrest and violence.
The Transition Integrity Project (TIP) is a group of progressive academics, political operatives, and former government officials who came together to simulate potential scenarios that might unfold during the 2020 U.S. presidential election and the inauguration in January 2021. The project was not a government initiative but a Democratic-led effort to explore possible outcomes and challenges related to the electoral process.
TIP conducted “war games” or simulations involving hypothetical scenarios where different actors, including political campaigns, legal teams, and the media, responded to various situations, such as a narrow victory, a defeat, or a contested result. The simulations aimed to identify potential risks and vulnerabilities in the electoral system and the transition of power.
TIP says it was not predicting specific events but exploring possibilities and assessing how various stakeholders might react in different circumstances. The project gained attention for its findings and analysis in the August 2020 report “Preventing a Disrupted Presidential Election and Transition.”
The report highlighted concerns about potential disputes over election results, legal challenges, and the role of institutions in ensuring a smooth transition. Some saw it as a valuable exercise in understanding and preparing for potential challenges to the democratic process, and others criticized it as a blueprint for disrupting U.S. elections.
The co-founders of TIP are Rosa Brooks, a law professor and former Defense Department official, and Nils Gilman, a historian, and scholar. The project involved the participation of various individuals, including Jennifer Granholm (current Biden Administration Secretary of Energy), John Podesta (former Hillary Clinton campaign chairman), and Norm Eisen (former Obama administration ethics czar.)
Looking back, the TIP story in 2020 seems like a precursor to the current political situation. It outlined “potential abuses of power” by Trump, eerily resembling the tactics used against him during the Russia collusion investigation. The report also hinted at the possibility of Trump casting doubt on election results, manipulating classified information, and using foreign interference to question legitimacy — ironically mirroring the same tactics employed against him.
TIP also delved into the concept of “color revolutions,” causing speculation about the group contemplating mass protests as a response to a Trump victory. Despite denials from TIP organizers, the association with color revolutions, often linked to regime change efforts abroad, fueled suspicions.
Democrats believe that drastic measures are necessary to prevent a perceived threat of a Trump dictatorship. The heightened paranoia raises concerns about potential pre-election actions, setting the stage for a chaotic campaign season.
Initially seen as a warning against Trump’s abuses, TIP has a different significance now. It reads like a playbook, with the “loose-knit group” attempting to delegitimize Trump’s presidency. The ongoing efforts to remove Trump from the ballot and suppress third-party challengers further underline the conviction that each side believes the other will be the first to abandon democratic norms.
The Biden administration, faced with declining poll numbers, has centered its messaging on “protecting democracy.” However, this narrative is losing its impact as “democracy” is increasingly associated with actions contradicting the principles it is supposed to represent. Legal maneuvers, censorship, and attempts to eliminate political opponents raise questions about who is committed to preserving democracy.
There is a valid point in highlighting the distinction between a Constitutional Republic and a pure Democracy in the context of the United States. The U.S. is indeed a Constitutional Republic, where the powers of the government are limited — the Constitution — and there are checks and balances to prevent the tyranny of the majority.
In a pure Democracy, decisions are made directly by the majority of the people, which could potentially lead to the oppression of minority rights. The framers of the U.S. Constitution were wary of the pitfalls of direct democracy and designed a system that combines democratic principles with safeguards to protect individual liberties.