Nevada is at the center of competitive races that could determine control of the White House, the U.S. Senate, and significant statewide policies. It is also one of ten states where voters will weigh in on a high-profile ballot measure related to abortion in the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2022 decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.
In Nevada’s presidential and Senate races, the stakes are high. While Nevada has only six electoral votes, it holds a vital position as a battleground state, and its bellwether status makes it a coveted win for both parties. The state has a track record for picking the winner in 27 of the last 30 presidential elections.
Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump have made multiple campaign stops here, and their campaigns regard Nevada as crucial for victory. In the Senate race, Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen is defending her seat against Republican Sam Brown, a retired Army captain who previously ran for Nevada’s other Senate seat. With the Senate narrowly divided, this race could be pivotal for either party’s control.
Nevada voters face three significant ballot questions with implications beyond the state.
The first ballot measure seeks to enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada constitution, a move prompted by Dobbs v. Jackson, which returned abortion laws to the states. The measure may draw in younger and independent voters, making the race all the more critical.
Another ballot question proposes a requirement for photo identification to vote. The measure is framed by advocates as necessary for election security but criticized by opponents who argue it could limit access for some voters.
The third measure would implement ranked-choice voting with a top-five primary system. Supporters believe ranked-choice voting could encourage less extreme candidates by expanding voter choice, potentially reducing polarization in the state’s elections.
Demographically, Nevada is ethnically and economically diverse, with large Latino, union, working-class, and rural populations. Democrats have traditionally relied on winning urban Clark County, home to Las Vegas, and Washoe County, home to Reno, while Republicans have maintained strongholds in rural counties. Republicans have recently made inroads among independent and Latino voters by tapping into concerns about inflation, education, and public safety.
Campaign dynamics have intensified, with both parties investing heavily in Nevada. Harris’s campaign has focused on healthcare, economic support, climate change, and reproductive rights, aiming to galvanize Democratic base voters in the urban centers. Trump’s campaign, meanwhile, has centered on economic concerns, conservative values, and issues of inflation and crime, emphasizing outreach in rural areas and among swing voters.
The Senate race, too, reflects the intensity of this contest. Jacky Rosen’s re-election bid against decorated Army veteran Sam Brown is considered a battle for Senate control. Brown’s campaign emphasizes national security and fiscal conservatism, while Rosen appeals to the Democratic base, focusing on healthcare, reproductive rights, and economic protections for working families.
Nevada conducts most of its voting by mail—a system made permanent in 2021 with a law that mandates ballots be sent automatically to active registered voters. While mail-in voting accounts for a substantial portion, with about 80 percent of voters casting ballots by mail or early in the 2022 midterms, many still prefer to vote in person. Nevada law allows the counting of ballots if postmarked by Election Day and if they arrive within four days after, delaying the outcome if races are close, a trend relevant in recent Democratic-leaning mail ballot counts.
With its long history as a bellwether state, Nevada’s election results indicate national trends. Over the last four presidential elections, Democrats have won in Nevada, and Harris’s campaign is pushing to extend that streak. However, with Republicans increasing their appeal in parts of the state, particularly among independents and rural voters, Nevada’s margins could indicate broader political trends.
Down-ballot races will also shape Nevada’s future, as voters will elect candidates for U.S. House seats, state Senate and Assembly positions, the state Supreme Court, and local county commissions. These down-ballot decisions could significantly affect local governance and state policies on education, public safety, and economic issues.
Nevada has no automatic recount law, but candidates may request a recount within three days of the canvass, regardless of the vote margin. If recounts occur, especially in the event of close races, results could be subject to additional delays. Given the state’s record of razor-thin margins and prolonged counting, recounts remain possible as mail-in votes get counted.
Nevada is at the center of competitive races that could determine control of the White House, the U.S. Senate, and significant statewide policies. It is also one of ten states where voters will weigh in on a high-profile ballot measure related to abortion in the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2022 decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.
In Nevada’s presidential and Senate races, the stakes are high. While Nevada has only six electoral votes, it holds a vital position as a battleground state, and its bellwether status makes it a coveted win for both parties. The state has a track record for picking the winner in 27 of the last 30 presidential elections.
Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump have made multiple campaign stops here, and their campaigns regard Nevada as crucial for victory. In the Senate race, Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen is defending her seat against Republican Sam Brown, a retired Army captain who previously ran for Nevada’s other Senate seat. With the Senate narrowly divided, this race could be pivotal for either party’s control.
Nevada voters face three significant ballot questions with implications beyond the state.
The first ballot measure seeks to enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada constitution, a move prompted by Dobbs v. Jackson, which returned abortion laws to the states. The measure may draw in younger and independent voters, making the race all the more critical.
Another ballot question proposes a requirement for photo identification to vote. The measure is framed by advocates as necessary for election security but criticized by opponents who argue it could limit access for some voters.
The third measure would implement ranked-choice voting with a top-five primary system. Supporters believe ranked-choice voting could encourage less extreme candidates by expanding voter choice, potentially reducing polarization in the state’s elections.
Demographically, Nevada is ethnically and economically diverse, with large Latino, union, working-class, and rural populations. Democrats have traditionally relied on winning urban Clark County, home to Las Vegas, and Washoe County, home to Reno, while Republicans have maintained strongholds in rural counties. Republicans have recently made inroads among independent and Latino voters by tapping into concerns about inflation, education, and public safety.
Campaign dynamics have intensified, with both parties investing heavily in Nevada. Harris’s campaign has focused on healthcare, economic support, climate change, and reproductive rights, aiming to galvanize Democratic base voters in the urban centers. Trump’s campaign, meanwhile, has centered on economic concerns, conservative values, and issues of inflation and crime, emphasizing outreach in rural areas and among swing voters.
The Senate race, too, reflects the intensity of this contest. Jacky Rosen’s re-election bid against decorated Army veteran Sam Brown is considered a battle for Senate control. Brown’s campaign emphasizes national security and fiscal conservatism, while Rosen appeals to the Democratic base, focusing on healthcare, reproductive rights, and economic protections for working families.
Nevada conducts most of its voting by mail—a system made permanent in 2021 with a law that mandates ballots be sent automatically to active registered voters. While mail-in voting accounts for a substantial portion, with about 80 percent of voters casting ballots by mail or early in the 2022 midterms, many still prefer to vote in person. Nevada law allows the counting of ballots if postmarked by Election Day and if they arrive within four days after, delaying the outcome if races are close, a trend relevant in recent Democratic-leaning mail ballot counts.
With its long history as a bellwether state, Nevada’s election results indicate national trends. Over the last four presidential elections, Democrats have won in Nevada, and Harris’s campaign is pushing to extend that streak. However, with Republicans increasing their appeal in parts of the state, particularly among independents and rural voters, Nevada’s margins could indicate broader political trends.
Down-ballot races will also shape Nevada’s future, as voters will elect candidates for U.S. House seats, state Senate and Assembly positions, the state Supreme Court, and local county commissions. These down-ballot decisions could significantly affect local governance and state policies on education, public safety, and economic issues.
Nevada has no automatic recount law, but candidates may request a recount within three days of the canvass, regardless of the vote margin. If recounts occur, especially in the event of close races, results could be subject to additional delays. Given the state’s record of razor-thin margins and prolonged counting, recounts remain possible as mail-in votes get counted.