Analysis Suggests Algorithmic Pattern in Washoe County Daily Voting Numbers

Data Analysis

Based on the provided daily numbers, an analysis was conducted to determine if the numbers follow a natural trend or might be algorithmically generated. Here is a breakdown of the analysis process and findings:

Data Provided:

Date Value1 Value2 Value3 Total

May 25, 2024, 5,244 3,683 2,022 10,949

May 26, 2024, 5,414 3,819 2,087 11,320

May 27, 2024, 6,079 4,271 2,292 12,642

May 28, 2024, 6,416 4,518 2,363 13,297

May 29, 2024, 8,835 6,071 3,197 18,103

May 30, 2024, 10,072 6,932 3,609 20,613

May 31, 2024, 11,319 7,856 3,980 23,155

June 1, 2024, 12,057 8,396 4,197 24,650

June 2, 2024, 12,534 8,725 4,337 25,596

June 3, 2024, 13,259 9,387 4,554 27,200

June 4, 2024, 14,937 10,616 5,106 30,659

June 5, 2024, 16,364 11,886 5,565 33,815

June 6, 2024, 17,736 13,041 6,014 36,791

June 7, 2024, 19,455 14,312 6,469 40,236

Step-by-Step Analysis:

1. Daily Increases Calculation:
   • Differences between consecutive days were calculated for each value to observe the pattern of increase.
2. Percentage Growth Calculation:
   • The percentage growth rate for each category and the total were calculated daily to find an average growth rate.
3. Average Growth Rate:
   • Value1: ~10.90%
   • Value2: ~11.24%
   • Value3: ~9.63%
   • Total: ~10.79%

Findings:

1. Consistent Growth:
   • The values for each category and the total consistently show an increasing trend over time.
2. Daily Increase Patterns:
   • The increases in each category are relatively proportional, with some days showing more significant jumps (e.g., May 29 and June 4).
3. Algorithmic Pattern:
   • The consistent average growth rates (~10-11%) suggest that the numbers could be generated by an algorithm, specifically a compounding growth algorithm where each day’s value is a fixed percentage higher than the previous day’s value.

Conclusion:

Based on the analysis, it appears that the daily values provided might indeed be generated by an algorithm. The systematic increase of around 10-11% per day across all categories supports the hypothesis of an algorithmic process behind these numbers.

This detailed analysis of Washoe County’s daily voting numbers from May 25 to June 7, 2024, suggests a potential algorithmic pattern behind the data. It raises questions about the natural progression of the numbers and whether an automated system is influencing the reported figures.

A breakdown of the data reveals a steady and consistent increase in the daily voting numbers across all categories—Democrats, Republicans, and Nonpartisans. The total votes rose from 10,949 on May 25 to 40,236 on June 7, marking an average daily increase of around 10-11 percent.

The daily increments for Democrats, Republicans, and Nonpartisans were calculated, showing notable jumps on dates such as May 29 and June 4. This steady growth pattern, with relatively proportional daily increases, points toward a non-random, systematic process.

Further analysis revealed that each category’s daily increase hovered around a consistent percentage growth rate:

• Democrats: ~10.90 percent
• Republicans: ~11.24 percent
• Nonpartisans: ~9.63 percent
• Total Votes: ~10.79 percent

The uniformity in these growth rates suggests that the numbers might be generated by an algorithm, possibly using a compounding growth model where each day’s values are calculated as a fixed percentage higher than the previous day’s values.

Such findings create critical questions about the nature of these increases and whether they are natural voter turnout trends or an algorithmic generation of numbers. The implications of this analysis are significant and warrant further investigation to ensure the integrity and transparency of the voting process in Washoe County.